Sousa v Campinense: the model read
Sousa meet Campinense in the Paraibano semi-finals. The model makes Campinense the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 25% SOU, 33% draw, 42% CAM.
Campinense rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1443. Recent form leans Campinense, 60% against 40%. Attacking output favors Campinense on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans Campinense at 62%; double chance reads Sousa or draw 58%, Campinense or draw 75%.
Sousa arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v America-RN, L 0-2 @ Maguary PE, D 0-0 v Central SC, L 0-2 @ ABC.
Campinense are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Sousa, W 1-0 @ Sousa, L 0-1 @ EC de Patos, D 1-1 v Sousa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
