Serra Branca v Botafogo PB: the model read
Serra Branca meet Botafogo PB in the Paraibano semi-finals. The model makes Botafogo PB the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 34% SER, 32% draw, 34% BOT.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 55%. Attacking output favors Botafogo PB on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans Botafogo PB at 51%; double chance reads Serra Branca or draw 66%, Botafogo PB or draw 66%.
Serra Branca arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Uberlandia, L 0-1 v Uberlandia, W 1-0 @ Juazeirense, W 2-0 v Juazeirense.
Botafogo PB are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 10 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Caxias, W 2-0 v Confiança, W 2-0 @ Anápolis, W 2-0 v Brusque.
Botafogo PB hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Botafogo PB 3-1 Serra Branca.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
