Bahia v Juazeirense: the model read
Bahia meet Juazeirense in the Baiano - 1 semi-finals at Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador. The model makes Bahia the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% BAH, 30% draw, 32% JUA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 48% against 45%. Attacking output favors Bahia on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 57%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Bahia at 54%; double chance reads Bahia or draw 68%, Juazeirense or draw 62%.
Bahia arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Corinthians, D 1-1 @ Atletico-MG, W 2-0 v Chapecoense-sc, L 0-2 @ Fluminense.
Juazeirense are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Serra Branca, L 0-2 @ Serra Branca, W 1-0 @ CSE, D 0-0 v Atlético Alagoinhas.
Bahia hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Bahia 4-2 Juazeirense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
