Arda Kardzhali v Lokomotiv Plovdiv: the model read
Arda Kardzhali meet Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Cup semi-finals at Arena Arda, Kardzhali. The model makes Lokomotiv Plovdiv the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 30% ARD, 34% draw, 36% LOK.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 63%. Attacking output favors Arda Kardzhali on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 30%, over 2.5 goals around 22%. Draw no bet leans Lokomotiv Plovdiv at 54%; double chance reads Arda Kardzhali or draw 64%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv or draw 70%.
Arda Kardzhali arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Slavia Sofia, D 1-1 @ Septemvri Sofia, L 0-1 @ Botev Vratsa, D 0-0 v Beitar Jerusalem.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Septemvri Sofia, L 0-1 @ Ludogorets, W 2-0 @ Rilski Sportist, W 2-0 v Arda Kardzhali.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 Arda Kardzhali.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
