Brisbane Roar II v Moreton City Excelsior: the model read
Brisbane Roar II meet Moreton City Excelsior in the Queensland NPL regular season - 20. The model makes Moreton City Excelsior the most likely outcome at 53%, with the full read 23% BRI, 24% draw, 53% MOR.
Moreton City Excelsior rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans Moreton City Excelsior, 63% against 23%. Attacking output favors Moreton City Excelsior on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 90%. Draw no bet leans Moreton City Excelsior at 70%; double chance reads Brisbane Roar II or draw 47%, Moreton City Excelsior or draw 77%.
Brisbane Roar II arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Olympic, W 4-1 v Rochedale Rovers, D 1-1 @ Brisbane City, L 1-3 @ Peninsula Power.
Moreton City Excelsior are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Peninsula Power, W 4-3 v Magic United, L 1-2 @ Gold Coast Knights, W 1-0 @ Gold Coast United.
Moreton City Excelsior hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Moreton City Excelsior 6-0 Brisbane Roar II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
