North Esporte v Uberlandia: the model read
North Esporte meet Uberlandia in the Mineiro - 1 troféu inconfidência - semi-finals at Arena Credinor, Montes Claros. The model makes North Esporte the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% NOR, 34% draw, 31% UBE.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 68% against 63%. Attacking output favors North Esporte on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans North Esporte at 53%; double chance reads North Esporte or draw 69%, Uberlandia or draw 65%.
North Esporte arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Uniao Trabalhadores, W 2-1 @ Uniao Trabalhadores, D 0-0 v Uberlandia, D 1-1 @ Uberlandia.
Uberlandia are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Portuguesa, W 2-0 v Portuguesa, D 2-2 v Serra Branca, W 1-0 @ Serra Branca.
Uberlandia hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: North Esporte 0-0 Uberlandia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
