Where the market is wrong on SHANGHAI SIPG v Qingdao Jonoon
SHANGHAI SIPG meet Qingdao Jonoon in the Super League regular season - 24 at Pudong Football Stadium, Shanghai.
SHANGHAI SIPG rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans SHANGHAI SIPG, 57% against 30%. Attacking output favors SHANGHAI SIPG on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 72%, over 2.5 goals around 81%. Draw no bet leans SHANGHAI SIPG at 62%; double chance reads SHANGHAI SIPG or draw 72%, Qingdao Jonoon or draw 55%.
SHANGHAI SIPG arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Qingdao Jonoon, D 1-1 v Dalian Zhixing, W 3-2 @ Wuhan Three Towns, W 3-2 @ Chongqing Tongliang Long.
Qingdao Jonoon are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ SHANGHAI SIPG, L 1-3 @ Shandong Luneng, L 0-1 v Shanghai Shenhua, L 0-2 @ Qingdao Youth Island.
The market prices SHA at 72% implied. Our number sits apart on Qingdao Jonoon: a 16.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
