Cruzeiro v Pouso Alegre: the model read
Cruzeiro meet Pouso Alegre in the Mineiro - 1 championship - semi-finals. The model makes Cruzeiro the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 45% CRU, 30% draw, 25% POU.
Cruzeiro rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1420. Recent form leans Cruzeiro, 68% against 35%. Attacking output favors Cruzeiro on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Cruzeiro at 65%; double chance reads Cruzeiro or draw 75%, Pouso Alegre or draw 55%.
Cruzeiro arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Botafogo, W 2-1 @ Internacional, L 1-3 @ Gremio, W 2-0 v Defensor Sporting.
Pouso Alegre are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Madureira, L 1-2 v Portuguesa, L 0-2 @ Água Santa, L 0-2 v Portuguesa RJ.
Cruzeiro hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cruzeiro 1-0 Pouso Alegre.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
