PAOK v OFI: the model read
PAOK meet OFI in the Cup final at Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki. The model makes PAOK the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% PAO, 29% draw, 30% OFI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 55%. Attacking output favors PAOK on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 70%. Draw no bet leans PAOK at 57%; double chance reads PAOK or draw 70%, OFI or draw 59%.
PAOK arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 16 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Dynamo Kyiv, L 2-3 v Twente, W 3-2 v AEK Larnaca, W 4-0 v KVC Westerlo.
OFI are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ GO Ahead Eagles, W 3-1 v Volos NFC, L 2-3 @ Levadiakos, L 1-3 @ Aris Thessalonikis.
PAOK hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: PAOK 2-3 OFI.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
