Preston Lions v Bentleigh Greens

Preston Lions meet Bentleigh Greens in the Victoria NPL regular season - 22 at Genis Steel Stadium, Melbourne. The model makes Preston Lions the most likely outcome at 52%, with the full read 52% PRE, 28% draw, 20% BEN.

Preston Lions rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1625 to 1400. Recent form leans Preston Lions, 66% against 28%. Attacking output favors Preston Lions on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Preston Lions at 72%; double chance reads Preston Lions or draw 80%, Bentleigh Greens or draw 48%.

Preston Lions arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Bentleigh Greens, W 3-2 v Newcastle Jets, D 0-0 @ South Melbourne, W 2-1 v Hume City.

Bentleigh Greens are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Preston Lions, W 2-1 v Dandenong City, L 1-2 @ Dandenong Thunder, L 0-3 @ Green Gully.

Preston Lions hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Preston Lions 1-0 Bentleigh Greens.

The market prices PRE at 68% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 7.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.