Where the market is wrong on Legion v Narva U21
Legion meet Narva U21 in the Esiliiga B regular season - 15.
Narva U21 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1400. Recent form leans Narva U21, 75% against 15%. Attacking output favors Narva U21 on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.0 per match.
Legion arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 20 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Narva U21, L 0-12 @ Parnu JK Vaprus U21, D 1-1 @ JK Tabasalu, L 1-2 v Tartu Kalev.
Narva U21 are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Legion, W 2-1 @ Tallinna Kalev II, W 1-0 v Luunja, W 1-0 v Levadia U19.
Narva U21 hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Legion 1-2 Narva U21.
The market prices LEG at 5% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 12.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
