Al Nasar v Yarmouk: the model read
Al Nasar meet Yarmouk in the Emir Cup round of 16 at Ali Al-Salem Al-Sabah Stadium, Kuwait. The model makes Yarmouk the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 33% AL , 29% draw, 38% YAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 60%. Attacking output favors Yarmouk on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 64%. Draw no bet leans Yarmouk at 53%; double chance reads Al Nasar or draw 62%, Yarmouk or draw 67%.
Al Nasar arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Al Jahra, D 1-1 @ Al Tadhamon, W 3-0 @ Al Shabab, L 1-2 v Kazma.
Yarmouk are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Al Sahel, D 3-3 v Al Jazira, L 2-3 @ Al Nasar, D 2-2 @ Al Sulaibikhat.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output