CSA v CRB: the model read
CSA meet CRB in the Alagoano semi-finals. The model makes CSA the most likely outcome at 50%, with the full read 50% CSA, 27% draw, 23% CRB.
CSA rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1686 to 1558. Recent form leans CSA, 76% against 57%. Attacking output favors CSA on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans CSA at 69%; double chance reads CSA or draw 77%, CRB or draw 50%.
CSA arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v São Luiz, D 0-0 @ São Luiz, W 4-0 v Ipatinga, L 0-1 @ Ipatinga.
CRB are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Vila Nova, W 1-0 @ Ceara, W 2-1 v Nautico Recife, D 2-2 v Goias.
CRB hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CRB 1-3 CSA.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
