Aucas v Libertad: the model read
Aucas meet Libertad in the Liga Pro regular season - 27 at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 53%. Attacking output favors Aucas on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Aucas arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Universidad Catolica, W 1-0 v Libertad, L 0-1 @ LDU de Quito, W 1-0 @ Delfin SC.
Libertad are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Emelec, L 0-1 @ Aucas, W 1-0 v Macara, D 2-2 @ Guayaquil City FC.
Libertad hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Aucas 1-0 Libertad.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output