Libertad v Macara: the model read
Libertad meet Macara in the Liga Pro regular season - 26 at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja. The model makes Macara the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 26% LIB, 32% draw, 42% MAC.
Macara rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1431. Recent form leans Macara, 63% against 40%. Attacking output favors Macara on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 33%. Draw no bet leans Macara at 61%; double chance reads Libertad or draw 58%, Macara or draw 74%.
Libertad arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 4 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Mushuc Runa SC, W 1-0 v Delfin SC, L 0-1 @ Barcelona SC, W 1-0 v Tecnico Universitario.
Macara are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Gualaceo SC, W 4-1 @ Aucas, W 3-0 v Deportivo Cuenca, L 1-2 @ Delfin SC.
Macara hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Macara 3-0 Libertad.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
