Manta FC v Mushuc Runa SC

Manta FC meet Mushuc Runa SC in the Liga Pro regular season - 23 at Estadio Jocay, Manta. The model makes Mushuc Runa SC the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 23% MAN, 35% draw, 42% MUS.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mushuc Runa SC, 43% against 24%. Attacking output favors Mushuc Runa SC on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.3 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 18%, over 2.5 goals around 17%. Draw no bet leans Mushuc Runa SC at 65%; double chance reads Manta FC or draw 58%, Mushuc Runa SC or draw 77%.

Manta FC arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Tecnico Universitario, D 1-1 v LDU de Quito, L 0-1 @ Guayaquil City FC, L 0-1 v Delfin SC.

Mushuc Runa SC are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Libertad, D 1-1 @ Emelec, W 2-1 v Orense SC, L 1-2 @ Macara.

Mushuc Runa SC hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mushuc Runa SC 1-0 Manta FC.

The market prices MAN at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.