LDU de Quito v Delfin SC

LDU de Quito meet Delfin SC in the Liga Pro regular season - 23 at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 37% LDU, 38% draw, 25% DEL.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans LDU de Quito, 53% against 35%. Attacking output favors LDU de Quito on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 14%, over 2.5 goals around 9%. Draw no bet leans LDU de Quito at 60%; double chance reads LDU de Quito or draw 75%, Delfin SC or draw 63%.

LDU de Quito arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 2 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Barcelona SC, D 1-1 @ Manta FC, L 0-1 v Leones del Norte, L 0-1 @ Universidad Catolica.

Delfin SC are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Leones del Norte, L 0-1 @ Libertad, W 2-1 v Macara, W 1-0 @ Manta FC.

LDU de Quito hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Delfin SC 1-0 LDU de Quito.

The market prices LDU at 70% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 17.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.