Where the market is wrong on Rockdale City Suns v UNSW
Rockdale City Suns meet UNSW in the New South Wales NPL regular season - 30 at Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre, Sydney.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 40%. Attacking output favors Rockdale City Suns on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Rockdale City Suns arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v UNSW, L 1-2 @ Sydney FC U23, L 1-2 v Wollongong Wolves, L 0-1 @ St George City FA.
UNSW are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Rockdale City Suns, L 0-2 v Manly United, D 0-0 @ Blacktown City, L 1-3 v Sydney Olympic.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rockdale City Suns 2-0 UNSW.
The market prices ROC at 55% implied. Our number sits apart on UNSW: a 8.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
