Pakhtakor v Lokomotiv: the model read
Pakhtakor meet Lokomotiv in the Super League regular season - 12 at Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent. The model makes Pakhtakor the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% PAK, 30% draw, 31% LOK.
The baseline ratings are close, 1601 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Pakhtakor, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Pakhtakor on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 54%. Draw no bet leans Pakhtakor at 56%; double chance reads Pakhtakor or draw 69%, Lokomotiv or draw 61%.
Pakhtakor arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Bunyodkor, W 2-1 v Xorazm, D 1-1 v Lokomotiv, D 1-1 @ Surkhon.
Lokomotiv are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Sogdiana, D 3-3 v Andijan, D 1-1 @ Pakhtakor, W 1-0 v Qizilqum.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
