Super Nova v BFC Daugavpils: the model read
Super Nova meet BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga regular season - 27 at Jana Skredela stadions, Riga.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans BFC Daugavpils, 53% against 38%. Attacking output favors BFC Daugavpils on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 37%. Draw no bet leans BFC Daugavpils at 59%; double chance reads Super Nova or draw 59%, BFC Daugavpils or draw 72%.
Super Nova arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v BFC Daugavpils, L 0-1 v Rīgas FS, L 1-2 v FK Liepaja, W 2-0 v Grobiņa.
BFC Daugavpils are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Super Nova, W 3-1 v Ogre United, W 2-0 v Tukums, W 2-1 v FS Jelgava.
BFC Daugavpils hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Super Nova 0-0 BFC Daugavpils.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output