Lusitano Évora 1911 v Caldas: the model read
Lusitano Évora 1911 meet Caldas in the Liga 3 relegation group - 4 at Campo Estrela, Evora. The model makes Lusitano Évora 1911 the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% LUS, 34% draw, 28% CAL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lusitano Évora 1911, 50% against 33%. Attacking output favors Lusitano Évora 1911 on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 26%, over 2.5 goals around 20%. Draw no bet leans Lusitano Évora 1911 at 58%; double chance reads Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw 72%, Caldas or draw 62%.
Lusitano Évora 1911 arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Benfica B, L 0-1 v Atlético CP, W 2-1 @ Amora, W 1-0 v SC Covilha.
Caldas are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ 1º Dezembro, D 1-1 v SC Covilha, L 0-2 @ Atlético CP, W 2-1 @ Amora.
Caldas hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Caldas 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
