Vestri v Grotta

Vestri meet Grotta in the 1. Deild regular season - 16 at Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass, undefined. The model makes Grotta the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 26% VES, 25% draw, 49% GRO.

Grotta rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1601 to 1466. Recent form leans Grotta, 61% against 43%. Attacking output favors Grotta on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 80%, over 2.5 goals around 91%. Draw no bet leans Grotta at 65%; double chance reads Vestri or draw 51%, Grotta or draw 74%.

Vestri arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 5 scored and 21 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Rīgas FS, L 2-6 @ HK Kopavogur, L 0-3 v Qarabag, L 2-5 v Fylkir.

Grotta are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 6-1 v Ægir, L 1-2 v Grindavik, W 1-0 @ Leiknir R., W 2-1 v HK Kopavogur.

Grotta hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Grotta 5-3 Vestri.

The market prices VES at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Grotta: a 14.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 85 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.