Ægir v Njardvik

Ægir meet Njardvik in the 1. Deild regular season - 16 at GeoSalmo vollurinn, Thorlakshofn. The model makes Njardvik the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 28% ÆGI, 27% draw, 45% NJA.

Njardvik rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Njardvik, 55% against 30%. Attacking output favors Njardvik on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 78%, over 2.5 goals around 86%. Draw no bet leans Njardvik at 62%; double chance reads Ægir or draw 55%, Njardvik or draw 72%.

Ægir arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 7 scored and 22 conceded. Recent results: L 1-6 @ Grotta, L 3-4 v HK Kopavogur, L 2-4 v Fylkir, L 1-8 @ Afturelding.

Njardvik are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v HK Kopavogur, L 1-4 @ Fylkir, W 5-4 v Grindavik, W 1-0 v Throttur Reykjavik.

Njardvik hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Njardvik 0-0 Ægir.

The market prices ÆGI at 16% implied. Our number sits apart on Ægir: a 11.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.