Paide v Nõmme United: the model read
Paide meet Nõmme United in the Meistriliiga regular season - 24 at Paide linnastaadion, Paide.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Paide, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Nõmme United on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 81%, over 2.5 goals around 84%. Draw no bet leans Paide at 50%; double chance reads Paide or draw 64%, Nõmme United or draw 64%.
Paide arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ FC Levadia Tallinn, W 4-1 v Nõmme United, D 1-1 @ Trans Narva, L 0-2 @ Rapid Vienna.
Nõmme United are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Paide, W 2-0 @ Hiiumaa, L 0-1 v Tammeka, L 0-5 @ FC Levadia Tallinn.
Paide hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Paide 4-1 Nõmme United.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
