Where the market is wrong on Orlando City II v Crown Legacy
Orlando City II meet Crown Legacy in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Osceola County Stadium, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 60%. Attacking output favors Crown Legacy on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.
Orlando City II arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Inter Miami II, W 3-2 v Crown Legacy, L 1-5 @ Atlanta United II, L 0-2 @ Chicago Fire II.
Crown Legacy are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Chicago Fire II, L 2-3 @ Orlando City II, W 3-1 v Chattanooga, L 0-2 v Connecticut FC.
Orlando City II hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Orlando City II 3-2 Crown Legacy.
The market prices ORL at 24% implied. Our number sits apart on Orlando City II: a 7.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
