Where the market is wrong on Deportes Temuco v Recoleta
Deportes Temuco meet Recoleta in the Primera B regular season - 21.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1432, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 34% against 42%. Attacking output favors Deportes Temuco on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Recoleta at 51%; double chance reads Deportes Temuco or draw 65%, Recoleta or draw 65%.
Deportes Temuco arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Antofagasta, D 1-1 v Recoleta, D 1-1 @ San Luis, L 3-4 v Magallanes.
Recoleta are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Deportes Copiapo, D 1-1 @ Deportes Temuco, W 4-2 v Rangers de Talca, D 0-0 @ Union San Felipe.
The market prices DEP at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Recoleta: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output