Where the market is wrong on Smedby v Nyköping
Smedby meet Nyköping in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand södra svealand - 24.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Nyköping, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Smedby on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Smedby arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Nyköping, L 1-2 @ Haninge, L 0-1 v Fittja, L 0-3 @ Farsta.
Nyköping are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Smedby, W 1-0 v Syrianska FC, L 0-1 @ Örebro Syrianska, W 3-0 v Eker Örebro.
Nyköping hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Smedby 1-1 Nyköping.
The market prices SME at 26% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
