Where the market is wrong on Helges v Falu BS
Helges meet Falu BS in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand norra svealand - 18.
Falu BS rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1400. Recent form leans Falu BS, 68% against 16%. Attacking output favors Falu BS on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 72%. Draw no bet leans Falu BS at 78%; double chance reads Helges or draw 41%, Falu BS or draw 83%.
Helges arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Falu BS, L 2-4 @ Skiljebo, L 0-5 v Bollstanäs, W 3-0 @ Korsnäs.
Falu BS are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Helges, W 3-1 v Franke, L 1-3 v Sunnersta, L 0-3 @ Skiljebo.
Falu BS hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Helges 1-2 Falu BS.
The market prices HEL at 12% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 8.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output