Where the market is wrong on Gimpo Citizen v Yongin City
Gimpo Citizen meet Yongin City in the K League 2 regular season - 19 at Gimpo Salter Soccer Field, Gimpo. The model makes Gimpo Citizen the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% GIM, 31% draw, 28% YON.
Gimpo Citizen rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Gimpo Citizen, 55% against 35%. Attacking output favors Gimpo Citizen on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Gimpo Citizen at 58%; double chance reads Gimpo Citizen or draw 72%, Yongin City or draw 60%.
Gimpo Citizen arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Daegu FC, W 2-1 @ Namyangju, L 0-2 @ Busan I Park, L 0-2 v Asan Mugunghwa.
Yongin City are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Hwaseong, L 0-2 v Dangjin Citizen, D 1-1 v Cheongju, L 1-2 @ Vietnam.
Gimpo Citizen hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Yongin City 1-3 Gimpo Citizen.
The market prices GIM at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on Yongin City: a 5.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
