AD Carmelita v Deportivo Saprissa: the model read
AD Carmelita meet Deportivo Saprissa in the Copa Costa Rica quarter-finals. The model makes Deportivo Saprissa the most likely outcome at 58%, with the full read 18% AD , 24% draw, 58% DEP.
Deportivo Saprissa rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1400. Recent form leans Deportivo Saprissa, 68% against 26%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Saprissa on expected goals, 2.2 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Deportivo Saprissa at 77%; double chance reads AD Carmelita or draw 42%, Deportivo Saprissa or draw 82%.
AD Carmelita arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Aserri FC, D 1-1 v Futbol Consultants Moravia, L 0-3 @ CS Uruguay, W 1-0 v Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC.
Deportivo Saprissa are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Perez Zeledon, L 0-1 @ CS Herediano, L 0-2 @ CS Herediano, W 2-1 v CS Herediano.
Deportivo Saprissa hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: AD Carmelita 2-4 Deportivo Saprissa.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
