Dinamo Tbilisi v Samgurali: the model read
Dinamo Tbilisi meet Samgurali in the Erovnuli Liga regular season - 18 at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi. The model makes Dinamo Tbilisi the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 44% DIN, 29% draw, 27% SAM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dinamo Tbilisi, 60% against 48%. Attacking output favors Dinamo Tbilisi on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Dinamo Tbilisi at 62%; double chance reads Dinamo Tbilisi or draw 73%, Samgurali or draw 56%.
Dinamo Tbilisi arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Guria, W 3-0 v FK Zalgiris Vilnius, D 1-1 v US Mondorf-les-bains, W 2-1 @ US Mondorf-les-bains.
Samgurali are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ WIT Georgia, W 1-0 @ Spaeri, D 0-0 @ Gagra, L 3-5 @ Dinamo Tbilisi.
Dinamo Tbilisi hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dinamo Tbilisi 5-3 Samgurali.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
