Fafe v Torreense: the model read
Fafe meet Torreense in the Taça de Portugal semi-finals at Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe, Fafe. The model makes Torreense the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 28% FAF, 32% draw, 40% TOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Torreense, 71% against 57%. Attacking output favors Torreense on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 31%. Draw no bet leans Torreense at 59%; double chance reads Fafe or draw 60%, Torreense or draw 72%.
Fafe arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Sanjoanense, L 1-4 @ Chaves, W 3-0 @ Vizela, D 0-0 @ SC Braga B.
Torreense are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Estoril, D 1-1 @ Benfica B, W 5-0 v Academica, L 0-2 @ Casa Pia.
Torreense hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Torreense 2-0 Fafe.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
