NJ/NY Gotham FC W v Portland Thorns W

NJ/NY Gotham FC W meet Portland Thorns W in the NWSL Women group stage at Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison.

NJ/NY Gotham FC W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1558. Recent form leans NJ/NY Gotham FC W, 75% against 57%. Attacking output favors Portland Thorns W on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans NJ/NY Gotham FC W at 58%; double chance reads NJ/NY Gotham FC W or draw 71%, Portland Thorns W or draw 59%.

NJ/NY Gotham FC W arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Portland Thorns W, D 0-0 @ Angel City W, W 2-1 v Kansas City W, W 1-0 v San Diego Wave W.

Portland Thorns W are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ NJ/NY Gotham FC W, W 1-0 v Denver Summit W, W 2-1 v Orlando Pride W, W 4-3 @ Boston Legacy W.

NJ/NY Gotham FC W hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: NJ/NY Gotham FC W 1-1 Portland Thorns W.

The market prices NJ/ at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on Portland Thorns W: a 13.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.