Al Ahed v Tadamon Sour: the model read
Al Ahed meet Tadamon Sour in the Cup quarter-finals at Beirut Municipal Stadium, Beirut. The model makes Al Ahed the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% AL , 33% draw, 28% TAD.
The baseline ratings are close, 1528 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 45%. Attacking output favors Al Ahed on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 28%. Draw no bet leans Al Ahed at 58%; double chance reads Al Ahed or draw 72%, Tadamon Sour or draw 61%.
Al Ahed arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Al Ansar, L 0-2 @ Jwaaya FC, L 0-2 v Al Nejmeh, D 3-3 @ Al Ansar.
Tadamon Sour are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Racing, D 0-0 v Reyady Abaseya, W 3-1 @ Racing, L 0-3 v Al Ansar.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
