Gorilla v Al Merreikh: the model read
Gorilla meet Al Merreikh in the National Soccer League group stage. The model makes Al Merreikh the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 27% GOR, 32% draw, 42% AL .
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Al Merreikh, 55% against 45%. Attacking output favors Al Merreikh on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 34%. Draw no bet leans Al Merreikh at 61%; double chance reads Gorilla or draw 58%, Al Merreikh or draw 73%.
Gorilla arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Al Merreikh, L 0-4 v Etincelles, D 1-1 @ Rayon Sports, L 1-2 @ Mukura.
Al Merreikh are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Gorilla, L 1-2 v APR, D 1-1 v Al Hilal Omdurman, L 0-1 @ Amagaju.
Gorilla hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gorilla 3-1 Al Merreikh.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
