Where the market is wrong on Gonio v FC Iberia 1999 II
Gonio meet FC Iberia 1999 II in the Liga 3 regular season - 19 at Kobuleti Football Center, Kobuleti.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 68%. Attacking output favors Gonio on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans FC Iberia 1999 II at 53%; double chance reads Gonio or draw 64%, FC Iberia 1999 II or draw 68%.
Gonio arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v FC Iberia 1999 II, L 0-4 @ Lokomotivi Tbilisi, D 1-1 v Iveria Khashuri, W 2-0 @ Iberia 2010.
FC Iberia 1999 II are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Gonio, L 0-2 @ Guria, D 1-1 v Lokomotivi Tbilisi, W 1-0 @ Iveria Khashuri.
Gonio hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gonio 2-2 FC Iberia 1999 II.
The market prices GON at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on FC Iberia 1999 II: a 16.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
