Pohang Steelers v Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Pohang Steelers meet Gimcheon Sangmu FC in the K League 1 regular season - 21 at Pohang Steel Yard, Pohang. The model makes Pohang Steelers the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% POH, 33% draw, 31% GIM.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 43%. Attacking output favors Gimcheon Sangmu FC on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 28%. Draw no bet leans Pohang Steelers at 54%; double chance reads Pohang Steelers or draw 69%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw 64%.

Pohang Steelers arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Jeonbuk Motors, L 1-3 @ FC Seoul, L 1-2 @ Jeju United FC, W 3-0 @ Gwangju FC.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Daejeon Citizen, D 1-1 @ Gwangju FC, L 0-2 @ Gangwon FC, D 1-1 v Bucheon FC 1995.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-1 Pohang Steelers.

The market prices POH at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Gimcheon Sangmu FC: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.