Deportes Tolima v Jaguares: the model read
Deportes Tolima meet Jaguares in the Primera A apertura - 14 at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague. The model makes Deportes Tolima the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 46% DEP, 30% draw, 24% JAG.
Deportes Tolima rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans Deportes Tolima, 57% against 28%. Attacking output favors Deportes Tolima on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Deportes Tolima at 66%; double chance reads Deportes Tolima or draw 76%, Jaguares or draw 54%.
Deportes Tolima arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Quindio, D 0-0 @ Universitario, L 1-3 @ Atletico Nacional, L 0-3 @ Coquimbo Unido.
Jaguares are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Deportivo Cali, L 0-1 @ Deportivo Pereira, W 3-0 v Ind. Yumbo, D 0-0 @ Águilas Doradas.
Deportes Tolima hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportes Tolima 3-1 Jaguares.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
