Where the market is wrong on Cobresal v Palestino
Cobresal meet Palestino in the Primera División regular season - 21 at Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador, El Salvador.
Palestino rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans Palestino, 57% against 30%. Attacking output favors Palestino on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Palestino at 65%; double chance reads Cobresal or draw 53%, Palestino or draw 75%.
Cobresal arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Palestino, D 3-3 @ D. La Serena, L 0-2 v Concepción, L 0-2 @ U. Catolica.
Palestino are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Cobresal, W 1-0 @ O'Higgins, W 5-1 v Huachipato, L 1-2 @ Universidad de Chile.
The recent head-to-head is even, 5 apiece across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cobresal 2-0 Palestino.
The market prices COB at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on Palestino: a 10.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
