Kooteepee v Haka: the model read
Kooteepee meet Haka in the Ykkösliiga group stage at Arto Tolsa Areena, Kotka.
The baseline ratings are close, 1707 to 1627, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Kooteepee, 78% against 65%. Attacking output favors Haka on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Kooteepee at 52%; double chance reads Kooteepee or draw 66%, Haka or draw 63%.
Kooteepee arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Haka, W 1-0 @ EIF, W 2-1 v KäPa, W 1-0 @ Klubi-04.
Haka are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Kooteepee, W 2-0 v SJK Akatemia, W 2-1 @ JäPS, W 3-0 v JIPPO.
Haka hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kooteepee 2-1 Haka.
The market prices KOO at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
