AEA v Jabaquara: the model read
AEA meet Jabaquara in the Paulista - A4 regular season - 15.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Jabaquara, 37% against 21%. Attacking output favors Jabaquara on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.5 per match.
AEA arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 @ Penapolense, L 0-4 v Vocem, L 0-2 @ ECUS, L 2-3 v Nacional SP.
Jabaquara are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Comercial, D 0-0 @ EC Lemense, D 1-1 v Taquaritinga, L 2-3 @ Penapolense.
AEA hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Jabaquara 0-1 AEA.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
