Porto BA v Juazeirense: the model read
Porto BA meet Juazeirense in the Baiano - 1 regular season - 9 at Estadio Municipal Agnaldo Bento dos Santos, Porto Seguro. The model makes Juazeirense the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 29% POR, 31% draw, 40% JUA.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 45%. Attacking output favors Juazeirense on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 48%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Juazeirense at 58%; double chance reads Porto BA or draw 60%, Juazeirense or draw 71%.
Porto BA arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Rio Branco ES, L 1-3 v Tombense, L 1-3 @ Democrata GV, D 0-0 v Vitória ES.
Juazeirense are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Serra Branca, L 0-2 @ Serra Branca, W 1-0 @ CSE, D 0-0 v Atlético Alagoinhas.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Porto BA 1-3 Juazeirense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
