Where the market is wrong on Puerto Nuevo v Deportivo Paraguayo
Puerto Nuevo meet Deportivo Paraguayo in the Primera C regular season - 29.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Puerto Nuevo, 48% against 38%. Attacking output favors Puerto Nuevo on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.7 per match.
Puerto Nuevo arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Mercedes, L 2-3 v Deportivo Paraguayo, L 0-2 @ Central Ballester, L 0-1 v Lugano.
Deportivo Paraguayo are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Lugano, W 3-2 @ Puerto Nuevo, L 0-3 @ Lujan, W 4-1 v Leandro N. Alem.
Puerto Nuevo hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Puerto Nuevo 2-3 Deportivo Paraguayo.
The market prices PUE at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Deportivo Paraguayo: a 8.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 64 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
