Where the market is wrong on Almirante Brown v Deportivo Madryn
Almirante Brown meet Deportivo Madryn in the Primera Nacional regular season - 27 at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, Isidro Casanova.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 63%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Madryn on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Almirante Brown arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Deportivo Madryn, W 2-0 @ Defensores De Belgrano, L 1-3 @ Tristan Suarez, W 2-0 v Ciudad de Bolívar.
Deportivo Madryn are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Almirante Brown, W 2-0 v Godoy Cruz, W 4-0 v Atletico Mitre, D 2-2 @ San Martin Tucuman.
Deportivo Madryn hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Almirante Brown 1-0 Deportivo Madryn.
The market prices ALM at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Deportivo Madryn: a 3.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
