Where the market is wrong on Madla v Haugesund II
Madla meet Haugesund II in the 3. Division - Girone 4 regular season - 20.
Madla rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1443. Recent form leans Madla, 78% against 40%. Attacking output favors Madla on expected goals, 2.8 to 1.9 per match.
Madla arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 17 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 6-0 @ Åkra, D 1-1 v Haugesund II, W 4-1 @ Hinna, W 2-0 @ Flekkerøy.
Haugesund II are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Madla, L 0-3 v Våg, L 0-7 @ Odd II, L 0-4 v Vindbjart.
Haugesund II hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Madla 1-1 Haugesund II.
The market prices MAD at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output