Stord v Askøy: the model read
Stord meet Askøy in the 3. Division - Girone 3 regular season - 13. The model makes Askøy the most likely outcome at 45%, with the full read 29% STO, 26% draw, 45% ASK.
Askøy rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1443. Recent form leans Askøy, 60% against 43%. Attacking output favors Askøy on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 84%, over 2.5 goals around 91%. Draw no bet leans Askøy at 61%; double chance reads Stord or draw 55%, Askøy or draw 71%.
Stord arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Askøy, W 2-0 @ Sogndal II, D 1-1 v Varegg, W 2-1 @ Åsane II.
Askøy are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Stord, W 2-0 v Førde, W 2-0 @ Gneist, W 3-0 v Os.
Askøy hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Stord 0-4 Askøy.
The market prices STO at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output