Aalesund II v Orkla

Aalesund II meet Orkla in the 3. Division - Girone 2 regular season - 13. The model makes Aalesund II the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% AAL, 26% draw, 33% ORK.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Aalesund II, 40% against 25%. Attacking output favors Aalesund II on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 92%, over 2.5 goals around 96%. Draw no bet leans Aalesund II at 55%; double chance reads Aalesund II or draw 67%, Orkla or draw 59%.

Aalesund II arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v Orkla, L 1-2 @ Byåsen, L 2-5 v Ranheim II, W 1-0 @ NTNUI.

Orkla are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Aalesund II, L 3-5 v Molde II, W 2-0 @ Spjelkavik, L 2-5 v Volda.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Aalesund II 4-2 Orkla.

The market prices AAL at 61% implied. Our number sits apart on Orkla: a 13.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.