Where the market is wrong on Vidar v Mjondalen
Vidar meet Mjondalen in the 2. Division - Group 1 regular season - 21.
Mjondalen rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1400. Recent form leans Mjondalen, 65% against 18%. Attacking output favors Mjondalen on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.9 per match.
Vidar arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Mjondalen, W 1-0 @ Sandviken, L 1-4 v Bjarg, L 0-3 @ Sotra.
Mjondalen are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Vidar, W 3-1 v Sotra, W 3-2 @ Lysekloster, L 0-3 v jerv.
Mjondalen hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vidar 1-3 Mjondalen.
The market prices VID at 15% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
