Notodden v Arendal: the model read
Notodden meet Arendal in the 2. Division - Group 1 regular season - 20 at Idrettsparken Notodden, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 53%. Attacking output favors Arendal on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Notodden arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ jerv, W 4-1 v Arendal, L 2-3 v ODD Ballklubb, D 1-1 @ Træff.
Arendal are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Notodden, L 1-2 v Sandnes ULF, W 2-0 v Kvik Halden, L 0-4 @ Bjarg.
Notodden hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Notodden 4-1 Arendal.
The market prices NOT at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
