Notodden v Sotra

Notodden meet Sotra in the 2. Division - Group 1 regular season - 13 at Idrettsparken Notodden, undefined. The model makes Notodden the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% NOT, 31% draw, 32% SOT.

The baseline ratings are close, 1601 to 1547, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 56%. Attacking output favors Sotra on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Notodden at 54%; double chance reads Notodden or draw 68%, Sotra or draw 63%.

Notodden arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Sotra, W 4-0 @ Sandviken, L 1-2 v Mjondalen, W 2-0 @ Lysekloster.

Sotra are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Notodden, L 1-3 v jerv, L 1-2 @ Kvik Halden, L 0-1 v Brattvåg.

Notodden hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Notodden 1-0 Sotra.

The market prices NOT at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on Notodden: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.